An Inconvenient Opinion from Europe

Belgian Alain Grootaers asks "Where have all negotiations gone?" regarding USA, NATO, Ukraine, and Russia

Alain Grootaers (b:1964) studied Political Science and International Relations at Brussels University (VUB) and worked as a journalist, chief editor and publisher for Belgian magazines and newspapers, as a tv-host and radio presenter and he’s the author of several books.  Alain is currently a columnist, producer and interviewer for the documentary series Headwind, in which scientists are interviewed who have a critical view on current affairs.  The series won the Public Vote of the Ultimas, the state prize for culture in Belgium. In his substack “Unconvenient opinion from Europe” he’s focusses on EU politics and the politics of the individual European countries.

This essay was reprinted by permission of the author.

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All along the watchtower, Where have all negotiations gone?

Alain Grootaers

"There are many here among us

Who feel that life is but a joke

But you and I, we've been through that

And this is not our fate

So let us not talk falsely now, the hour is getting late"

Bob Dylan was just passing through Europe, so it seemed appropriate to start with some lyrics from All Along the Watchtower.

These days, anyone advocating de-escalation in the war between Russia and Ukraine is quickly portrayed as a right-wing (!) Putin friend. When Elon Musk and Donald Trump suggested last week that it might not be a bad idea after all to see if we could avoid a nuclear war through negotiations, they were rebuffed. In Kiev, the giant posters of Elon Musk, which Ukrainians had first put up to thank him for his internet satellite connections, were taken down. He can now surely forget that square with his name and a statue in Kiev. Nothing should put spokes into the wheels of the propaganda war, on both sides, of course. That is why it is a pity that the Russian propaganda channel RT can no longer be watched in Europe: it is always enlightening to compare one propaganda with another.

So anyone now advocating negotiations and de-escalation is suspect. Indeed; according to specialists in Washington, the demand for de-escalation just leads to escalation. For the war apologists, the reason for this is simple: "whoever negotiates now shows that he is scared of nuclear war" according to Washington's influential Yale professor Timothy Snyder. To me, it just seems perfectly sensible to be terrified of a nuclear holocaust, potentially wiping out the entire human race, but that attitude is already being described as cowardly. I must be very old-fashioned. And besides, not a Yale professor. Where it used to be called nuclear balance that prevents nuclear war, the reasoning is now being reversed by the hawks: we must not be deterred by nuclear blackmail. What used to be called balance is now called blackmail. Where during the Cuba crisis Khrushchev and Kennedy came to an agreement and spared the world a nuclear war, today they would be labelled cowardly and weak.

These are worrying evolutions, especially since this Ukraine war was waged here in our European backyard and -for example- not in Mexico on the US border or in Cuba. Surely such a geographical difference makes a big difference in thinking.

According to the usually well-informed publication Defense News, a new US law is now coming -backed by Democrats and Republicans- to free up even more money for multi-year contracts with arms manufacturers to help Ukraine and replenish US stockpiles. Excellent news for the US war industry, which is already operating at full capacity, with record profits for Lockheed Martin, among others, which produces the famous HIMARS missile system.

The Pentagon would also be allowed to partner with NATO to buy weapons en masse for its members, and for contracts related to Ukraine, the legislation would relax some key legal restrictions on Pentagon purchases until fiscal year 2024 - a sign that lawmakers see the war dragging on.

"The intent of the legislation is to encourage the Pentagon and industry to be more aggressive by removing bureaucratic obstacles, not only in view of Russia but also in view of a possible confrontation with China over Taiwan" , a senior congressional aide told Defense News. In light of this, the Senate also wants to release $10 billion for military aid to Taiwan. So here we see identically the same mechanism that also played out with Covid and made Big Pharma even richer than they already were: a problem is created, the solution is provided and the urgency is invoked to pass legislation quickly.

Preparations for conflict with China are also being made at another level: last week, the Biden administration banned the export of high-tech equipment to China, leading, for instance, Dutch semiconductor manufacturer ASML to order its employees to stop working for Chinese customers. Producers such as Apple, Samsung, Google, Amazon and Microsoft saw the scare for some time and have since moved their production to other Asian countries such as Vietnam or India.

It looks very much like the US is preparing an offensive on several fronts (not to mention Iraq). Europe is standing by, watching it and shivering for a cold war winter. It is high time we named that elephant in the room, before it is too late.

"And this is not our fate

So let us not talk falsely now,

the hour is getting late"

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Alain is not alone in his opinion. About half of all Dutch people are also concerned about being caught being the “monkey in the middle” of a surrogate nuclear conflict between Russia and the United States.

Half of Dutch people fear Russia will use nuclear weapons in war with Ukraine

22 OCTOBER 2022

Nearly half of Dutch people surveyed fear that Russia will use nuclear weapons in its war on Ukraine. Another third believe that Western European countries, including the Netherlands, could be impacted by these nuclear weapons.

The survey of 2,638 Dutch people by I&O Research comes on the 60-year anniversary of the Cuban Missile Crisis, when the United States and Soviet Union seem poised for nuclear war. The research shows there has been a significant increase in Dutch people who believe there is a chance Russian President Vladimir Putin will resort to nuclear weapons. However, the public is divided on what the consequences could be for the Netherlands.

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And the concerns about irresponsible escalation of tensions are not limited to Europe.

Ex-CIA chief’s greatest concern in the Russia-Ukraine conflict is escalation ‘spiraling out of control’

CNBC, OCT 4 2022

The greatest worry for David Petraeus, a former CIA director and retired U.S. Army general, concerning the war in Ukraine is the potential for unbridled escalation that would result in catastrophic consequences, he told CNBC on Tuesday.

Asked what his top concern was with regard to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, in which the U.S. is heavily supporting Ukraine to the tune of billions of dollars in military aid, Petraeus replied, “just as a general category, it’s just [the risk of it] spiraling out of control.”

“I think it is legitimate for U.S. leadership and for leadership of other countries to avoid starting World War III, as the phrase has been termed,” the retired general told CNBC’s Hadley Gamble at the Warsaw Security Forum in Poland. 

Petraeus concludes:

“So again,” the former CIA director said, “it’s really about the situation just spiraling out of control in some way. Which is why it’s so important that as our national security advisor in the U.S., Jake Sullivan, has publicly stated, it’s very important that we have communicated in advance to the Russians, ‘if you do this, you can expect something along the lines of this’ — noting that obviously, there will always be a range of options presented to the president. And it depends specifically on you know, what happened, all this, that would determine what a response would be.”  

“But we don’t want to start getting into some kind of climbing the nuclear ladder with Russia,” he stressed, “which could spiral out of control.”

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It is time we stop, children, and look whats going down.

Stating the obvious: Here in the United States, the commander in chief is far past his intellectual prime, and prone to petulant retaliation against those who disagree with him and his policies. Biden is no Kennedy. His administration has jumped Constitutional guardrails in many areas, and increasingly acts as a Globalist lapdog, just as we have seen happen in current WEF-influenced Canadian, UK, Australian, and New Zealand political leadership structures.

US Nuclear saber rattling in Europe will further damage the cohesion of the European Union, NATO, and is adding to the profound geopolitical insecurity and instability of the entire region as it heads into what looks like a truly “Dark Winter”.

One has to wonder, what are the US National interests in Ukraine which merit this level of risk?

If there is not a clear and compelling US National interest in the region, has the US Military and NATO merely become tools for enforcing a Globalist agenda seeking to punish Putin for incursion into what has become a US/WEF puppet territory?

The Belgian people and most Europeans still remember Flanders Fields. I only wish that Joe Biden could.

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